Hi, I’m Doron Weisbarth with Weisbarth & Associates, and welcome to my January 2026 Market Update! Once a year — and only once a year — I attempt to predict the future. It’s a form of self-torture, I suppose, but the good news is that so far no one has come to tar and feather me for my bad predictions. So here I go again — stepping up to the ledge for 2026. Before we look forward in time, let’s set the stage and take a quick peek backwards in time. If you take a look at this chart, you’ll see that for all the craziness in 2025, and there was plenty of it — high interest rates, inflation, economic uncertainty, high tariffs, low tariffs, high tariffs, low tariffs, global conflict, to name just a few — the real estate market in our area was remarkably… unremarkable. Median prices went up. Maybe not dramatically, but they did. And market activity has stayed about the same since 2023, back when high inflation and high rates first hit. In other words, the seasonal rhythm that has become almost endemic in our area, survived just fine through thick and thin. And that’s a good thing. First, because it allows me to make “good enough” predictions so I won’t end up with egg all over my face. But more importantly, based on those patterns we can now chart a course for anyone who’s looking to buy and/or sell a home in the coming year. By the way, if you want to look at this data and read the full report at your own pace and leisure, you’ll find everything in my January newsletter, available online and for download, for free, at Weisbarth.com/newsletter — that’s Weisbarth.com/newsletter . Alright! The moment we’ve all been waiting for, least of all me — prediction time! One thing that has been true in our area for many, many years is that the level of buyer demand still far exceeds the number of homes for sale. So even when uncertainty shows up — as it did throughout 2025 — that demand doesn’t disappear. It retracts, it waits, it simmers… but it never goes away. If you’ve heard me refer to the ‘pent-up demand’ before — that’s exactly what helps build it. Buyers who, on the one hand, are eager to find a good, stable home for themselves and their families, and yet are temporarily holding back. Remember — buying a home is an emotional act, and that means that it’s fraught with emotions high and low. You probably also heard me quote that old saying that a confused mind will do nothing. It just sits there and waits for more clarity — a brighter day, a clear path, a sign from the universe… something! Anything! Well guess what — that sign from the universe just arrived, delivered by a horse-drawn carriage. Interest rates have been steadily dropping recently. They’d been hovering just over the 6% mark and even crossed into the upper 5% territory. Of course that’s an average rate, so if your credit score is better and you’re putting down a large enough down payment, your rate might be lower than that average. And this all creates the perfect lure to bring those buyers out. So my prediction is that we’ll see a lot of buyers enter — or re-enter — the market. And this year’s buyers — especially the ones in the mid- to higher-end — may have extra fuel from their very strong 2025 stock market gains. With those earnings, they’ll feel good and confident to make larger down payments, compete harder, and push prices up more quickly. But it gets even better (well… for sellers). Historically, those buyers show up en masse at the beginning of the year — exactly when inventory levels are at their lowest. That mismatch of high demand with low supply creates competition, multiple offers, and upward price pressure. Let me put that chart back up again for a second, because it’s always easier to spot the pattern visually than to describe it in words. So, as you can see from past years’ data, I expect that the early part of 2026 will be very favorable for sellers. If you’re a buyer watching this, what this means is that, yes, competition will be stronger, and if you’re worried, ask me about our proven 3-step system for buyers that helps dramatically change the odds in your favor. Now, by mid-year, we’ll likely see a leveling off in home prices and market activity. Then we enter the usual summer slowdown as buyers and sellers choose sun and travel over open houses. And then a second fall surge before the market finally taps the brakes again heading into the holidays. So that’s the playbook I’m betting on for 2026. Now, I know what you’re thinking:“This isn’t much of a prediction — it’s just a description of past patterns.”Yep. You’re right. Not much of a walk on the ledge here. The big question is this: how big will that spring surge be? Now that’s the part no one can predict. And of course, we don’t know what national or global surprises are in store for us this year, and notice I didn’t say “if”… But if 2025 taught us anything, it’s that this market is stubbornly resilient, even when the world is doing somersaults. So, if you — or someone you know — has a New Year’s resolution that includes buying and/or selling a home this year, my team and I would love the referral. We’ve perfected our 5-step system for sellers and our 3-step system for buyers, and we’ve got the numbers to prove how well they work. Combined with our engineering-level analysis, we know how to track market trends, and based on that, adjust our strategies to meet them. And remember — when you work with us, you’re also helping support Akin, an amazing nonprofit helping kids and families in need thrive. Your business and referrals make a real difference in the community, and we’re incredibly proud to be a part of that mission. For a no-obligation consultation — or if you just want to explore your options or bounce around some ideas — reach out by email, text, or, my favorite, a good old-fashioned phone call at 206-779-9808. That’s 206-779-9808. We are always happy to help! Thanks for watching! Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and follow for more updates — and be sure to check out the full January newsletter at Weisbarth.com/newsletter . I’m Doron Weisbarth with Weisbarth & Associates — Happy New Year, and I’ll see you next month!